Thursday, July 21, 2022 / by Bryan Baylon
The average monthly change in CMI was -34%. This is the same as last week and the week before. The week before that it was -35%.
The deterioration in the market for sellers continues with almost as much speed as ever. There has been a slight reduction in the rate of arrival of new listings, but it is still much higher than last year at this time. Demand has not stopped falling and listings under contract are exceptionally low for the time of year. Even our best performing city, Paradise Valley, has slumped 11% over the last month, but it may yet overtake Fountain Hills and grab the top spot, since Fountain Hills fell 18%, the second best result. Cave Creek is third and fell "only" 21%, which looks good by comparison with the other 14 cities which range from -30% (Avondale) to -44% (Glendale).
Here is our latest table of Cromford® Market Index values for the single-family markets in the 17 largest cities
Buckeye is now a buyer's market by a large margin and Queen Creek is almost as bad for sellers. Maricopa is not quite there yet but it will be a buyer's market in 2 or 3 days. Gilbert, Tempe, Peoria, Chandler and Surprise are all going to be balanced markets within a few days and on their current trajectory they could be buyer's market by mid August. The largest market by far, Phoenix, looks like it will be balanced before the end of July and a buyer's market before the beginning of September. Glendale and Mesa are just a week or so behind.
The high end market is still holding out much better than the mid-range.
Only 3 cities are now over 150. A month ago we had 14. The market has changed dramatically for the worse over the past 4 or 5 weeks.
Market incites provided by the Cromford report.